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Win Rate & Expectancy Calculator

Calculate your trading system's statistical edge: expectancy and profit factor.

Alex ThorntonVerified

CFA, CMT โ€” Chartered Financial Analyst & Chartered Market Technician

Former institutional trader with 15 years experience across equities, forex and derivatives. Now focused on financial education.

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About the Win Rate & Expectancy Calculator

Expectancy = (Win Rate ร— Avg Win) โˆ’ (Loss Rate ร— Avg Loss). A positive expectancy means your system makes money over time.

Profit Factor above 1.5 is considered robust; above 2.0 is excellent.

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